Weekend estimates: Tom and Jerry shows the strength of family movies with a $13.7-million debut

February 28th, 2021

Tom and Jerry is enjoying the best weekend of 2021 so far, and the third-best of the pandemic era, according to Warner Bros.’ projections released on Sunday mornings. Its $13.71 million opening is a far cry from the $40 million to $50 million it might have earned before the pandemic, but it confirms something we’ve suspected since the stronger-than-expected openings of The War with Grandpa and The Croods: A New Age: family movies are performing much better during the pandemic than other types of film… More...

Weekend predictions: $6 million is the benchmark for Tom and Jerry

February 26th, 2021

Warner Bros. wraps up January with what should be the biggest release of the year so far. Under normal circumstances, Tom and Jerry would be looking for an opening weekend somewhere close to the $58 million enjoyed by Sonic the Hedgehog this time last year. Our model says $46 million would be par for the course for a film like this. But, even though there are some signs of improvement in the theatrical market, pandemic-related restrictions and the reluctance of audiences to return to theaters means the movie won’t see anything close to that level of business this weekend.

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Weekend predictions: Croods looking likeliest winner in a close race

February 19th, 2021

With no new releases this weekend, the race for number one at the box office comes down to which film among the top three last weekend has the best legs. The overwhelmingly likely answer to that question is The Croods: A New Age, which enters its lucky 13th week in release doing almost exactly the same business as it was two months ago. The only unknown is how well Judas and the Black Messiah will do in its second weekend. More...

Weekend estimates: a 3-way tie for number one

February 14th, 2021

The combination of a long weekend and a very tight race means it’s hard to say who’s winning at the box office this weekend. Universal is claiming bragging rights, with a $2.04 million three-day estimates for The Croods: A New Age. It is set to earn around $2.66 million including Monday’s holiday gross. Warner Bros. is projecting $2.0 million over three days and $2.4 million for the long weekend for both its new release Judas and the Black Messiah and the returning The Little Things. (The studio didn’t originally announce a three-day number for The Little Things, but just confirmed that $2.0 million figure with us.)

Outside of this minor intrigue at the top of the chart, this week’s estimates contain some promising news… More...

Weekend predictions: Judas and the Black Messiah should win the weekend

February 12th, 2021

The welcome arrival of two new wide releases and the combination of Valentine’s Day on Sunday and President’s Day on Monday should cause an uptick at the box office this weekend. Judas and the Black Messiah is the film most likely to top the chart, according to our model, while Land is set for a more modest result but should make it into the top six.

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Judas and the Black Messiah Trailer

August 6th, 2020

Biographical drama starring Daniel Kaluuyya and Lakeith Stanfield will play exclusively in theaters, soon. Full movie details. More...