Now You See Me: Now You Don’t weekly (November 14, 2025) final number is $27,709,120, for a total of $27,709,120 ... The Running Man weekly (November 14, 2025) final number is $21,248,103, for a total of $21,248,103 ... Predator: Badlands weekly (November 14, 2025) final number is $16,729,877, for a total of $70,034,737 ... Rachel Hurd-Wood will star in Strawberry Roam ... Jeremy Sumpter will star in Strawberry Roam ... Spencer Lofranco passed away on November 18, 2025 ... The Moment will be released on January 30, 2026 ... The Sheep Detectives will be released on May 8, 2026 ... Julio Fernandez passed away on November 17, 2025 ... Daisy Edgar-Jones will star as Elinor in Sense and Sensibility

Daily Domestic Chart for Friday November 21, 2025

  Movie TitleGross%YD%LWTheatersPer
Theater
Total
Gross
Days In
Release
1 N Wicked: For Good $68,680,000     4,115 $16,690 $68,680,000 1
2 (1) Now You See Me: Now You D… $2,400,000 +91% -71% 3,403 $705 $30,109,120 8
3 (3) Predator: Badlands $1,700,000 +110% -51% 3,100 $548 $71,734,737 15
4 (2) The Running Man $1,665,000 +104% -75% 3,534 $471 $22,913,103 8
5 N Rental Family $1,200,000     1,925 $623 $1,200,000 1
6 N SISU: Road to Revenge $1,200,000     2,222 $540 $1,200,000 1

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The Numbers Business Report rolls out our full predictions for 2026 at the box office

November 21, 2025

This month’s edition of The Numbers Business Report, features our biggest annual study: our predictions for the domestic theatrical market in 2026. Not only do we present detailed movie-by-movie forecasts for 2026 Q4 wide releases, but we also have our overall predictions for the year. Our feature article dives into the yearly forecast, going into depth on wide releases earning > $200 million, other wide releases (>2,000 theaters), limited and specialty releases (<2,000 theaters), limited engagement re-releases (<2,000 theaters), holdovers from the previous year, and currently undated films.

If you’re a regular reader, you may have noticed that we've refined exactly what we mean by a “wide release” for this study. To qualify as a wide release in our OpusData database and here on The Numbers website, a movie needs to play in 600 domestic theaters. Back when we started collecting box office reports in 1997, that represented a significant investment on the part of the distributor, since it meant shipping at least 600 prints of a film to theaters throughout North America. Today, getting a movie into 600 theaters isn’t nearly the same logistical challenge, and there are far more movies released each year that meet our database’s definition of “wide.” Unfortunately, many of those movies also don’t report box office, or have more niche releases—perhaps playing only a few times over a weekend in a theater, and targeting a very specific audience.

Trying to compile predictions for all of the “wide” releases by our traditional metric has become a fool’s errand, and for the 2026 prediction, we’ve moved the line for a wide release, for the purposes of prediction, to be one that plays in at least 2,000 theaters at some point in its run. That covers all the major studio releases, plus quite a lot of independent films, and gives us a good set for our predictions. In fact, earnings for films playing in over 2,000 theaters represent over 92% of reported box office this year, and we expect those releases to hold a similar market share in 2026. Of course, we still take the remaining 8% seriously, and our 2026 forecast includes predictions for limited and specialty releases and re-releases, which still represent a half-billion-dollar market.

Right now, it looks as though the final number for 2025 will be within 5% of our original prediction of $9.3 million twelve months ago. That would mark four straight years of being within 5% of the actual year-end total 13 months in advance.

To view our full prediction, subscribe here. As a sneak peek, the top-earning film during the year is expected to be The Super Mario Galaxy. The franchise has already broken records, with its first installment becoming the first video-game adaptation to gross more than $1 billion worldwide, and earning $575 million in North America.

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Weekend predictions: Wicked on target for the best opening of 2025

November 21, 2025

A still from Wicked: For Good

From an earnings perspective, Wicked: For Good’s competition this weekend doesn’t come from other movies opening this weekend, but from Wicked: Part One, and from all the other movies that have arrived in theaters in 2025. It will easily beat Wicked’s $112.5-million debut this time last year, but the real question is whether it can top A Minecraft Movie’s $162.8 million to claim the crown as having the biggest weekend of the year. Right now, that’s looking like a good bet, but not a certainty… More...

Theater counts: Wicked: For Good twirls onto the big screen, launching in 4,115 theaters

November 20, 2025

Wicked: For Good

Two newcomers placed one and two at the weekend box office, with Now You See Me Now You Don’t grabbing the box office honors with a three-day haul of just over $21 million, outperforming second-place finisher, The Running Man, picking up $16.5 million in its opening foray. Neither film will get close to touching the top spot for a second weekend, however, as a Wicked storm is brewing and about to blow onto the big screen. More...

Ticket prices increased 5% in Q3 vs. 2024

November 17, 2025

2025 has been a roller coaster for movies in theaters, starting with a weak first quarter, followed by a second quarter full of surprises, a slower third quarter, and now a fourth quarter that looks increasingly promising with several heavy hitters on the way.

In Q3, despite a decline in overall box office performance compared to 2024, the average ticket price reached $11.79, with an annual inflation rate of 5%, consistent with the second quarter. While attendance fell year over year, average ticket prices continued to rise due to ongoing pricing strategies, the expansion of premium formats, and alternative content that maximizes revenue. For example, Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle generated $133M during the quarter and became the highest-grossing domestic foreign-language IMAX release. IMAX also reported record Q3 revenue, further demonstrating the growing consumer appetite for premium formats. More...

Weekend projections: third time’s the charm for Now You See Me franchise

November 16, 2025

Now You See Me: Now You Don’t

Now You See: Now You Don’t will pull off an unusual trick this weekend. It’s is recording the worst opening weekend for the franchise, while simultaneously being the first Now You See Me film to come top at the box office. Back in May 2013, Fast and Furious 6, in its second weekend, topped Now You See Me’s $29.4-million opening. In June 2016, The Conjuring 2 debuted with $40.4 million, which, along with Warcraft’s (disappointing) $24.2 million, pushed Now You See Me 2 into third place with $22.4 million. This weekend, $21.3 million will be enough for Now You See Me 3 to claim the crown. Alas, that’s partly a story of the changing nature of the theatrical business over the past 12 years. More...

Weekend predictions: Now You See Me looking to steal weekend from Running Man and Predator

November 14, 2025

Now You See Me: Now You Don’t

Now You See Me: Now You Don’t goes into the weekend as a very marginal favorite to take the box office crown, but we’re essentially looking at a three-way tie in the predictions as of now. Predator: Badlands could beat back both newcomers, while The Running Man isn’t entirely out of the running. More...

Theater counts: Predator: Badlands retains top footprint, staying widest release for its second weekend

November 13, 2025

Predator: Badlands

The weekend box office was all Predator: Badlands, as the latest in the franchise gobbled up just over $40 million in its opening volley. The film remains the widest release in the land, but will have a much steeper test in its second frame, as three newcomers are set to challenge the current leader. More...

Weekend projections: Predator: Badlands projected to hit $40 million on debut

November 9, 2025

Predator: Badlands

After a dismal month or two for new movies, we finally have a new release that’s being met with enthusiasm by moviegoers. Predator: Badlands will open with around $40 million this weekend, according to 20th Century Studios (aka Disney). If that number holds up, it’ll be the best debut (ignoring inflation) for any film in the Predator franchise, beating 2004’s AVP: Alien vs. Predator. More...

Weekend prediction: Predator: Badlands shoots for $30-million-plus opening

November 7, 2025

Predator: Badlands

A terrible run of form at the box office looks like it will come to an end this weekend, thanks to a relatively strong opening for Predator: Badlands. The sci-fi action movie seems set to have a debut weekend over $30 million, with something close to the $33.2 million earned by Tron: Ares in its sights. More...

Theater counts: Predator: Badlands lands in 3,725 theaters in opening weekend rollout

November 6, 2025

Predator: Badlands

Last weekend’s box office passed without much flair as both Regretting You and Black Phone 2 vied for the top spot, with the latter ultimately taking the prize for the second time in its three-week run. This weekend will see an abundance of newcomers burst into theaters looking to unseat the current box office leaders. More...

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